Fitch Ratings has released their latest finding on the U.S. commercial mortgage backed securities (CMBS) sector with some encouraging news for the coming year as fewer loans are coming due in 2012. In transactions rated by Fitch, approximately 1,200 commercial mortgage loans totaling $17.3 billion are scheduled to mature in 2012, representing a sizeable drop compared to 2,000 loans totaling $22.5 billion that matured in 2011. The largest concentration of maturing loans in 2012 will come from loans secured by office properties, representing 38% of impending maturities reported the Wall Street Journal.
Fitch continues to expect the majority of loans to payoff at maturity despite the short term volatility of the capital markets. "Most maturing loans, particularly those from earlier vintages, benefit from stable performance and years of scheduled amortization, which make them more easily financeable in today's market," said Adam Fox, Senior Director at Fitch Ratings. The most challenging loans to refinance are those that were originated in 2007, the peak of real estate values. "Borrowers will likely need to contribute additional equity to secure financing for five-year loans."
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